English Dictionary

Cromwell's rule

固有名詞

A rule stating that the use of prior probabilities of 0 or 1 should be avoided, except when applied to statements that are logically true or false, so as to leave room for the possibility that something very unlikely is in fact the case.

日本語の意味

論理的に真または偽と判明する命題の場合を除き、先行確率として0または1を使用しないようにし、非常に低い確率の事象が実際に起こる可能性を考慮するという原則。

When constructing a Bayesian model, I always remember Cromwell's rule and avoid assigning absolute certainties to hypotheses.

ベイズモデルを構築するとき、私は常に事前確率を0や1にしないという原則（クロムウェルの規則）を念頭に置き、仮説に絶対的な確信を割り当てないようにしています。

意味（1）

A rule stating that the use of prior probabilities of 0 or 1 should be avoided, except when applied to statements that are logically true or false, so as to leave room for the possibility that something very unlikely is in fact the case.