最終更新日：2022/12/24
The black swan fallacy holds that if all you have ever observed in your field research are white swans, you might be tempted to conclude 'All swans are white'. However, a black swan was discovered in Australia. Therefore, all it takes is one black swan to falsify the general statement about the universality of white swans.
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元となった例文
The
black
swan
fallacy
holds
that
if
all
you
have
ever
observed
in
your
field
research
are
white
swans,
you
might
be
tempted
to
conclude
'All
swans
are
white'.
However,
a
black
swan
was
discovered
in
Australia.
Therefore,
all
it
takes
is
one
black
swan
to
falsify
the
general
statement
about
the
universality
of
white
swans.
