Last Updated
：2025/11/24
base rate fallacy
（ plural ）
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A common error in logical reasoning where an effect is attributed to an incorrect cause because the basic statistical ratios have not been taken into account.
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base rate fallacy
The detective warned the jury that the base rate fallacy could lead them to overestimate the defendant's guilt because rare events were being treated as decisive evidence.
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The detective warned the jury that the base rate fallacy could lead them to overestimate the defendant's guilt because rare events were being treated as decisive evidence.
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